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Time trends for risk of severe age-related diseases in individuals with and without HIV infection in Denmark: a nationwide population-based cohort study

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Time trends for risk of severe age-related diseases in individuals with and without HIV infection in Denmark: a nationwide population-based cohort study
Published by Pedro CAHN

Updated: 15 October, 2015

Rasmussen LD et al. Lancet HIV. 2015 Jul;2(7):e288-98.

HIV-infected people have an increased risk of age relative diseases. It is unknown whether this is caused by biological ageing or by HIV-associated risk factors such as chronic immune activation and low-grade inflammation. This study assessed time trends in age-standardised and relative risks of 9 serious age-related diseases in the Danish HIV cohort study and population controls. HIV-infected individuals were all patients who received HIV care in Denmark between Jan 1, 1995, and June 1, 2014. Population controls were identified from the Danish Civil Registration System and individually matched in a ratio of nine to one to the HIV-infected individuals for year of birth, sex, and date of study inclusion. Individuals were included in the study if they had a Danish personal identification number, were aged 16 years or older, and were living in Denmark at the time of study inclusion. Data for study outcomes were obtained from the Danish National Hospital Registry and the Danish National Registry of Causes of Death and included cardiovascular diseases (myocardial infarction and stroke), cancers (virus associated, smoking related, and other), severe neurocognitive disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease, and osteoporotic fractures. For this age-related diseases were calculated excess and age standardised incidence rates and adjusted incidence rate ratios of outcomes for time after HIV diagnosis, highly active antiretroviral therapy initiation, and calendar time. The regression analyses were adjusted for age, sex, calendar time, and origin.

The study population consisted of 5,897 HIV-infected individuals and 53,073 population controls; median age was 36.8 years (IQR 30.6–44.4), and 76% were men in both cohorts. Dependent on disease, the HIV cohort had 55,050–57,631 person-years of follow-up and the population controls had 638,204–659,237 person-years of follow-up. Compared with the population controls, people with HIV had high excess and relative risk of all age-related diseases except other cancers. Overall, the age-standardised and relative risks of cardiovascular diseases, cancers, and severe neurocognitive disease did not increase substantially with time after HIV diagnosis or ART initiation. Except for chronic kidney diseases, the age-standardised and relative risks of age-related diseases did not increase with calendar time.

In conclusion, severe age-related diseases are highly prevalent in people with HIV, and continued attention and strategies for risk reduction are needed. However, this study suggest that accelerated ageing is not a major problem in the HIV-infected population.